Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 8.246434 9.206386 10.289666 11.614735 13.208681 15.086500 17.500194
2025-01-05 6.591956 7.780509 9.242662 11.217004 13.885447 17.483608 22.929522
2025-01-12 5.616005 6.848975 8.446684 10.743443 14.100158 19.088279 27.673570
2025-01-19 4.992171 6.236925 7.914044 10.445025 14.385780 20.748215 33.072277
2025-01-26 4.598963 5.867034 7.635053 10.422887 15.028439 23.094978 40.793976
2025-02-02 4.502746 5.885277 7.892070 11.229144 17.169024 28.762968 59.261130
2025-02-09 4.340435 5.784016 7.948832 11.711744 18.857534 34.269404 83.103368
2025-02-16 4.104506 5.546636 7.761353 11.740596 19.684693 38.268091 107.916656
2025-02-23 3.962212 5.435617 7.757698 12.086127 21.236774 44.845028 155.875069
2025-03-02 3.690553 5.100325 7.350601 11.623062 20.924681 46.214371 182.356633
2025-03-09 3.478027 4.843177 7.051152 11.324816 20.924829 48.574506 223.572138
2025-03-16 3.325688 4.671372 6.881137 11.255307 21.453271 52.987627 302.412567
2025-03-23 3.234304 4.606676 6.916270 11.660080 23.438894 64.808739 598.643150
2025-03-30 3.028548 4.341970 6.578236 11.253940 23.231453 68.199310 870.353909
2025-04-06 2.834565 4.083912 6.229839 10.777881 22.712819 69.976787 1219.493436
2025-04-13 2.682813 3.887330 5.977447 10.478049 22.631979 74.027045 2080.421541
2025-04-20 2.580357 3.767850 5.857252 10.455807 23.385062 83.605401 6738.014985
2025-04-27 2.583813 3.830110 6.083699 11.265903 27.108177 119.011142 NaN
2025-05-04 2.547055 3.818584 6.165972 11.750866 30.023699 159.609968 NaN
2025-05-11 2.466269 3.722810 6.071954 11.779860 31.281623 190.577131 NaN
2025-05-18 2.421164 3.688527 6.098753 12.127113 34.028017 257.435732 NaN
2025-05-25 2.306086 3.519658 5.835492 11.661746 33.098345 262.886308 NaN
2025-06-01 2.213116 3.387514 5.640695 11.362039 32.843054 282.838747 NaN